Definitely the bridge ground.
The best way is usually to trace the wire and see where it leads too. Most of the time the item/part nearest to the wire would be the one connected to it, in your case, the bridge ground. But sometimes we won't know so gotta be careful.
Anyway, just to share something regarding to grounding
I had my bass preamp swapped out recently from a Seymour Duncan STC-3 (i'm selling it, if you are interested in getting an onboard preamp do let me know) to an AMAZING, and i say again, AMAZING sounding Audere Classic 4 preamp which i got from Cherns The Man.
We got it installed on the bass and on first try it sounded great (i was rushing off that day) and happily brought home the bass, but when i plugged it in and reached for the controls, i heard the most horrible sound that no one wants to hear. ELECTRICAL BUZZ!
So i was wondering what could be the problem, contacted cherns and we troubleshooted, i tore open my bass cavity and tried to rewire a few wires but that didn't work. Brought my bass down to cherns again and we troubleshooted and came to a conclusion that the wiring was connected correctly.
Emailed Audere's tech and he got back to me to wire a wire to my cavity shield and WALA. Problem solved. The instructions said not to wire to the cavity shield but that was needed for my bass.
Regarding shielding, now the preamp's quiet but my pickups are picking up a slight buzz from ... i don't know where but my pickup cavity definitely has no shielding so what i'm going to do is to get some copper foil and shield my cavity the next time i change strings. =). I think that'll bring my bass preamp to near silence if possible.
Just a little something. Hope that helps in some ways.