Hi, just a personal opinion.
Buy the guitar because you like the feel, and want to play it. Not to keep it and hope that the value will increase someday. It probably will not.
An advise, always if not sure, make friend with the seller. Have him point out to you the merits of the guitar and verify it later. Bring a "old bird" along, someone who is good in telling a guitar is good or not.
There are always some tell tale sign of the suspicious guitar if its fake. But sometime the fake is so well built, it's worth the money spent as it will be with you for life.
For Fender brand guitar, the bad news is that it's a really mass produced guitar, so sometime even if it genuine, it is not well built or have flaws. And with mass production, there is so many runs on it that it's difficult to tell a real from a fake, cause anyone can always laminate the brand and serial number and other manufacturing markings like the real deal.
Also where you buy it from is important, be it some dark back alley or a reputable shop. The risk is proportional, so is price.
If you really really really like it, you will enjoy it whether its fake or not.
Good luck and best wish on your purchase
Regards,
Mike
Mikemann Music studio